Disasters in Slow Motion (pt. 24) - Oct 15, 2020

With Facebook shutting down the Notes feature, it looks like I’ll only have one or two more of these. After that I guess I’ll need to set up a Covid-19 blog. Meh.

October 15, 2020 (16:08 GMT) - Actual Numbers vs. October 07, 2020 (16:06 GMT)
Worldwide Cases: 38,935,567 (+2,771,142)
Worldwide Deaths: 1,099,447 (+42,995)
Worldwide Mortality Rate: 2.82% (-0.10%)
Worldwide Mortality Rate (without US): 2.85% (-0.10%)
US Cases: 8,168,998 (+434,785)
US Deaths: 222,162 (+6,056)
US Mortality Rate: 2.72% (-0.05%)
US Total Recovered: 5,290,510 (+338,294)
US Total Recovered (including Deaths): 5,512,672 (+344,350)
Florida/Collier Cases: 744,988 (+24,683) / 13,432 (+571)
Florida/Collier Deaths: 15,737 (+946) / 242* (+14)
Florida/Collier Mortality Rate: 2.11% (+.06%) / 1.80%* (+0.04%)
Florida Total Recovered: 671,992 (+273,890)

* Later on Oct 7th the Collier County death toll was dropped by 60, to 228. These tallies reflect the corrected information.

Florida Cases/Recoveries (including deaths)
April 14 (23:59 GMT): 21,628 / 1,215 - Starting Numbers
May 1: Phase 1 Begins
May 02 (23:06 GMT): 35,463 (+13,583) / 2,050 (+835)
July 9 (11:00 GMT): 223,783 (188,320) / 34,080 (+22.030)
July 12 (14:35 GMT): 254,511 (+30,728) / 36,267 (+2,817)
July 19 (20:02 GMT): 350,047 (+95,536) / 42,395 (+6,128)
August 4 (16:53 GMT): 497,330 (+147,283) / 50,302 (+12,907)
August 31 (17:26 GMT): 623,471 (+126,141) / 90,018 (+39,716)
September 7 (02:17 GMT): 646,431 (+22,960) / 111,544 (+21,526)
September 14: Phase 2 Begins
September 17 (21:38 GMT): 674,456 (+28,025) / 186,943 (+75,399)
September 26: Phase 3 Begins
September 27 (01:51 GMT): 698,836 (+24,226) / 290,988 (+104,055)
October 07, 2020 (16:06 GMT): 720,125 (+21,289) / 398,102 (+121,127)
October 15, 2020 (16:15 GMT): 744,988 (+24,683) / 671,992 (+273,890)

So, informational weirdness aside, both the Florida and Collier County mortality rates remain below the national average - despite their upticks. What is encouraging though, is that (technically speaking) a state of epidemic no longer exists in the State of Florida. It doesn’t mean that folks should be careless, but over ten times the number of closed cases to new is remarkable. Yes, there is still a risk - we aren’t out of the woods yet - but Florida is looking remarkably good right now.

Of course, just about in time for snowbird season, so we will see what happens in the coming weeks.

Nationally, the news isn’t as good. We’re still at about 80,000 more new cases than new closed cases. The US is not there yet, Covid-19 is still spreading and still poses a major risk.